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发表于 2008-11-24 18:10:57
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可是这三位学者? 可惜看不到原文。
http://knowledge.insead.edu/abstract.cfm?ct=6966
W. Chan Kim ; Renee Mauborgne and Ludo Van der Heyden
One observes that despite the continued application of superior personal strategies and leadership throughout Napoleon's lifetime, success eluded him in the end. A pattern is observed of meteoritic rise in the early stages (victories in the battle of Lodi, Marengo, Austerlitz) and a downfall later (Russian invasion, Waterloo). What is behind this rise and fall? Can any reasonable explanations be found? Exploring these questions is the motivation of this case.
从简介看,似是从意大利到奥斯特利茨等算一个阶段(上升),征俄和滑铁卢等算一个阶段(衰落)。
其实从部署和机动部队的战略看,后期差别不那么大。即使很不被看好的1813年战略,也是很合理的利用内线的部署:一个大突出部将联军隔为南,北,东三部分,拿破仑的预备部队坐镇中央,随时相机打击一路。但联军的战略有了较强针对性,采用了躲避拿破仑锋芒,打击其他部队的战略(特拉申伯格计划)。加上拿破仑的部下急于求成,没按拿破仑部署打,终酿大败。 |
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