本帖最后由 高守业 于 2011-7-22 13:15 编辑
还有一点就是普鲁士那时候的战争潜力已经到极限了,面临着严重的财政困难,兵员情况也是良莠不齐的,包括大部分萨克斯西德意志部队充数其中 ...
hyj7718 发表于 2011-7-22 10:46 
http://bbs.napolun.com/viewthread.php?tid=32066
同样的情况也发生在1815年的普鲁士身上,虽然他们在1813年爆发了惊人的动员能力,然而此时却遭遇了严重的经济危机,这为他们的动员造成了很大困难,为了节约军饷普鲁士甚至让少校军衔的军官去担任团长。可以说上莱茵军团的四个军以及两个后备军已经是他们的极限,如果拿破仑在滑铁卢打出对英普的大胜普鲁士就没有足够的能力进行再次动员了。
以上是之前的一个观点,滑铁卢战役期间,普军的两个预备军在克莱斯勒的指挥下已经开到了列日,但是国内仍有许多精锐部队,比如近卫 胸甲 和骷髅:
- - V Army Corps GL Yorck Strength: 33,000-36,200 men and 96 guns
(34 infantry battalions, 48 cavalry squadrons, 12 artillery batteries)
General Yorck defeated General Bertrand at Wartenburg in 1813.
- - - - - - VI Army Corps GL Tauentzien Strength: 34,500-37,800 men and 96 guns
(36 infantry battalions, 48 cavalry squadrons, 12 artillery batteries)
The four cuirassier regiments were assigned to this corps.
- - - - - - Guard and Grenadier Corps GL Prinz von
Mecklenberg Strength: 12,000-13,600 men and 32 guns
(14 infantry battalions, 12 cavalry squadrons, 4 artillery batteries)
Here was the flower of the Prussian army:
two regiments of Foot Guards and two of grenadiers
and four regiments of Horse Guards.
The guards did march to Paris after leaving Potsdam on 4th June.
They entered the beautiful city on 22nd July.
- - - - - - "Die Rheinische
Landwehr Corps" - Strength: 18,000-20,400 men
(24 infantry battalions, 8 cavalry squadrons)
- - - - - - Troops in Luxemburg - -
因此这个观点成立的条件是拿破仑恪守巴黎合约不越过莱茵河一部,如果拿破仑挥兵进入德意志,不排除普鲁士鱼死网破的可能。
当时 沙皇因为梅特涅的密谋而与英奥有隙,并表示不愿意为让俄国为他人流血,奥地利和拿破仑的关系一向暧昧,即使1814年拿破仑被困枫丹白露他们也不是那么反对波拿巴家族继续统治法兰西:
所以如果拿破仑放低姿态,恪守巴黎条约并且固守传统疆界的话,一场滑铁卢的大胜足以帮拿破仑保住法兰西的王冠了。 |